Phil Bennetts

Currency Market Update 16/09/09



Posted: Wednesday, September 16, 2009

by
Foreign Exchange Explained

The Pound declined against the Euro and the Dollar as strong US economic data and comments from Bank of England Governor Mervyn King that policy-makers are "looking at" lowering deposit rates paid to banks to hold reserves at the central bank. The news raised speculation that the BoE may continue to extend its 175 billion pound quantitative easing program. British CPI came in better-than-expected, up 0.4% but failed to boost the sterling as investors focused on King's announcement.
 

The Dollar made gains against the Pound while remaining relatively unchanged against the Euro as better-than-expected retail data pointed to a US led economic recovery. Sales at US Retailers rose 2.7% in August, bolstered by the government-sponsored "Cash for Clunkers" program. The increase was the largest jump in retail sales in over three-and-half years and easily surpassed analysts' estimates. US PPI also topped analysts' forecasts for August, coming in up 1.7%. The positive economic data helped to raise speculation that the US economy was on the path to recovery, boosting the Dollar.

The Euro made gains against the Pound while remaining relatively unchanged against the Dollar as investors risk appetite waned after a disappointing start for equities in Europe and the US.  Germany, Europe's largest economy, posted a three-year high in September's investor sentiment, but still fell short of expectations. The ZEW economic sentiment index rose to 57.7, topping the 56.1 reading in August. Despite the lower-than-forecast report, the recovery scenario is still viewed as intact.



www.forbes.com

Data released 16th September 2009  



UK:      09.30   Average Earnings (3 Months to July)

UK       09.30   Claimant Count (August)

                        ILO Unemployment (July)

EU       10.00  Final HICP (August)

US       13.30   CPI (August)

Ex Food & Energy

US       13.30   Current Accounts (Q2)

US       13.30   Real Earnings (August)

US       14.00 TICS Capital Inflows (July)

US       14.15   Capacity Utilisation (August)

US       14.15   Industrial Production (August)

US       18.00   NAHB Housing Market Index (September)
 
Phil Bennetts
Foreign Exchange Explained
http://www.foreign-exchange-advice.info
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